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February 4, 2012
In This Issue...
- 2012 PARS PLUS Pre-Order Up Now!
- V6 & Selection-Orientation
- Don't Forget the Blog!
2012 PARS PLUS Pre-Order Up Now!
OK, racing fans! The doors are now open. Don't all rush in at once.
But do reserve your copy now now for this first-edition run, ship date of March 10.
Options...
Book form pre-order
V6 update pre-order
Handy Capper update pre-order
Fast Capper update & first-time Fast Capper pre-orders
Programmer's Pars pre-order
General pars information
As always, thank you for your support.
V6 & Selection-Orientation
Is it possible? In a backroom filled with Longshot Louies, is there a chance to find some modulation of that recklessness?
You bet. It's been developed by those selfsame longshot aficionados here. Though they are not schizoid (or at least not diagnosed as such), they do appreciate the wish of V6 users the world over who are looking for a little less risk, a little more stability. As always, the output can be accommodated to meet all needs.
So, how is it done? Of course we'll get to that. But for the extremely conservative in the group, the John Bircher Reactionaries, one superfavourite approach has shown hit-rates starting in the 60s, as in win success in more than half the attempts. For the Eisenhower/Clinton moderates in the bunch, a favourite-style hit-rate in the low 30s, or nearly one-in-three, is attainable, with the better news being that the prices are not at all favourite-like.
This latter-day miracle of overlaid-favourite play and low-priced-value hunting is called "The Triple Threat". Of course by that name you surely must know that three distinct elements of the All-In-One V6 data will be looked at.
It's truly an at-a-glance procedure, again in three steps:
Step 1. Note the identity of the top horse on the All-In-One V6 Betting Line.
Step 2. See if said horse is also the notorious "farthest-out 'X' (or "farthest-out 'Y' ") in the Pace Graph. If it is, proceed to Step 3. If not, no triple-threat this time. Regrets!
Step 3. See if the single said horse from Steps 1 & 2 also has the highest rating in the exciting new LifeLiner Speed Analysis column. If so, congratulations, you have a Triple Threat Horsey, so-called.
Now, for the Conservative-to-Moderate use of the Triple Threat Horsey, it's simply not enough to bet indiscriminately. Again, the idea is to isolate runners that will win with some regularity, some consistency, so as to prevent those of us sensitive to the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune from suffering too much undue injury.
OK. That means a couple of things. First off, we want to see a Triple Threat horsey pegged at between 3-1 and 5-1 on the morning line. This will keep too many riff-raffish strivers from sneaking into consideration. In essence, this is a Fourth Step in the process. No soap, no sale if the Triple Threat horsey is lower than 3-1 on the morning line or higher than 5-1.
So what if you have a Triple Threat horsey who's qualified on the morning-line requirement? What's next? That depends on you. There are two mutuel "sweetspots" to take a look at: one for the Birchers, one for the Eisenhower-Clintonians.
First, the Birchers, the ultra-ultra reactionaries who view progress an anathema. For you, a hit-rate of 80 percent and up is possible. Sadly, the plays are not too many. However, they do win and the prices are overlayed. Yes, even horses paying less than even-money can be such! Your goal will be to see that these 3-1-to-5-1 morning-line Triple Threat horseys get bet down to even-money or lower.
Second, the Moderates, those preferring a bit more balance. Those same 3-1-to-5-1 morning-line Triple Threat horseys can win just fine even when they are not receiving that bet-down activity. Just make sure they are going off in that sweetspot of 3-1 to 5-1 on the toteboard.
So these aforementioned actual-odds mutuel sweetspots (for the Triple Threat horseys who are 3-1 to 5-1 on the morning line) appear to be from 1.15-1 and lower, and from 3.00-1 to 5.95-1.
Early results on both encourage, with profit-rates fantastically robust for now. We shall see. A combination of both Conservative and Moderate approaches should yield a satisfying number of plays.
What makes these Triple Threat horseys so potent? The Betting Line reflects much more than simple pace-and-speed; other factors come into play. Likewise, the LifeLine reflects much more than a rating from a single paceline. Perhaps these Triple Threat horseys are more well-rounded than their lower-rated counterparts; they have, to use the parlance of the Romney Juggernaut, "a safety net" to fall back on. The Triple Threat horseys come with a level of multi-dimensionality, a depth of quality, a wealth of positive factors.
P.S. A variation on the theme is to neglect the morning-line requirement for the Triple Threat horsey and simply see if said horsey has been bet-down to even-money or lower. The profits are much more modest, and the hit-rate drops to the low-60s, but the rate of action increases significantly.
P.P.S. Any examples for later on in the day across the North American continent? Consider Race 8 at Golden Gate, where #6 Duke of Doom appears to satisfy all three Steps and is 3-1 on the morning line. Also, #2 Last Chapter in the seventh at Sunland looks solid. In the finale at Turf Paradise, #8 B's Lucky Strike is a qualifier.
Don't Forget the Blog
Good stuff daily at the HiddenEntries blog. There for your Saturday is the standard "First Post" post, plus the return of "Your Saturday Stakes Sweep". Go!
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